Week 3: 11-8-1
Year to Date: 29-30-1
Was worried for a little bit there. After my first eight picks I was 1-7. I bounced back well to post an even week. There’s still plenty of time to get my record to 55%-60%. We’ll see. I’m going to start including the games that I actually am betting on as well in these picks.
I was very surprised to see Michigan State get manhandled by the Irish. I knew their offense was a bit one dimensional, but I had no idea ND’s defense would suffocate them so much. Of my preseason “sleepers”, only Kansas State remains. Obviously there were other shockers too, most notably USC losing to Stanford, Pittsburgh pummeling Virginia Tech and even the mini-upset of Florida over Tennessee, which even I didn’t expect.
This week conference play is almost in full swing.
Thursday September 20
BYU @ Boise State (-7.5)
Boise State just doesn’t lose at home. The team has lost 3 games at home since 1999, and their loss to TCU at home last year was their first regular season home loss since 2001.
We will learn a lot about these two teams on Thursday. Both have losses to respectable (though now one-loss) teams and rather unimpressive wins early on. For Boise, this is one of their last remaining chances at a quality win with MWC play on the horizon. For BYU, they have 6 tough games in a row coming up, so back-to-back losses here would be brutal. Boise playing at home and playing perhaps their last game on national television this season will seek to make a statement. DJ Harper needs to play well for this to happen, and that might be a tall task against this strong Cougar defense. He struggled mightily against MSU (perhaps one of the 5 best defenses in the country) and they won’t win again unless he puts forth a better effort. He was unstoppable against Miami (OH) and I think he keeps the momentum going. BYU will struggle to score on this Boise defense, and Harper and Southwick play solid mistake-free football and take away the win.
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